Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Casa Pia
22.3%
Draw
24.6%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Casa Pia
vs
1.14
Vizela
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).