Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Ath Madrid
18.7%
Draw
10.9%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Ath Madrid
vs
0.75
Elche
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).