Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Hearts
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Hearts
vs
0.50
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
12.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).