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24 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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90.4%
Inter
6.8%
Draw
2.8%
Benevento

Expected Goals (xG)

3.57

Inter

vs
0.57

Benevento

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.1%
4-0
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
5-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).