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28 Sept 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Motor Lublin
25.2%
Draw
25.7%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Motor Lublin

vs
1.23

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).