Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Birmingham
29.5%
Draw
16.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Birmingham
vs
0.67
Wigan
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).