Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Perugia
32.6%
Draw
20.5%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Perugia
vs
0.71
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).