Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Bromley
22.5%
Draw
27.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Bromley
vs
1.25
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).