Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Celta
23.5%
Draw
17.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Celta
vs
0.87
Girona
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).