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15 Mar 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.5%
FC Koln
19.6%
Draw
18.8%
Nordsjælland

Expected Goals (xG)

2.46

FC Koln

vs
1.33

Nordsjælland

Markets

BTTS68.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
3.4%
4-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).