Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Toulouse
13.2%
Draw
7.1%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Toulouse
vs
0.61
Dijon
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).