Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Brentford
26.5%
Draw
27.0%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Brentford
vs
1.29
Fulham
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).