Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Valencia
22.4%
Draw
61.3%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Valencia
vs
1.88
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).