Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Rio Ave
24.6%
Draw
26.2%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Rio Ave
vs
1.03
Chaves
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).