Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Paris FC
24.1%
Draw
23.7%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Paris FC
vs
0.91
Red Star
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).