Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Burnley
20.6%
Draw
4.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Burnley
vs
0.25
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS19.0%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.8%
2-0
20.8%
0-0
13.5%
3-0
12.4%
1-1
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
5-0
2.0%
4-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).