⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 11CSV

18 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.0%
Gillingham
26.0%
Draw
37.0%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Gillingham

vs
1.24

Salford

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).