Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Freiburg
23.4%
Draw
18.2%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Freiburg
vs
0.98
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).