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AHT: 03CSV

29 Jul 2023 · 19:45

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
RWD Molenbeek
18.8%
Draw
66.2%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

RWD Molenbeek

vs
2.43

Genk

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).