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14 Oct 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Braintree Town
24.3%
Draw
36.7%
Evesham United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Braintree Town

vs
1.39

Evesham United

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).