Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
29.6%
Draw
31.4%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.23
Burnley
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).