Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Lecce
22.1%
Draw
64.2%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Lecce
vs
1.77
Juventus
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
8.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).