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07 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Kidderminster
31.6%
Draw
28.8%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Kidderminster

vs
0.97

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).