Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Oxford
32.6%
Draw
34.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Oxford
vs
1.05
Watford
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).