Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Nottingham Forest
26.8%
Draw
59.6%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.68
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).