Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Frosinone
19.8%
Draw
10.3%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Frosinone
vs
0.74
Bari
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).