Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Man United
25.5%
Draw
30.8%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Man United
vs
1.50
Brentford
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).