Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Charlton
24.3%
Draw
19.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Charlton
vs
0.74
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).