Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Exeter
28.4%
Draw
36.2%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Exeter
vs
1.02
Stockport
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
0-3
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).