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06 May 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.4%
Hibernian
18.7%
Draw
9.9%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Hibernian

vs
0.69

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).