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30 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Fleetwood Town
23.3%
Draw
36.9%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.37

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).