Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Rennes
20.2%
Draw
35.6%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Rennes
vs
1.89
Marseille
Markets
BTTS74.3%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).