Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Eldense
28.0%
Draw
28.7%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Eldense
vs
0.98
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).