Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Wigan
33.7%
Draw
35.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Wigan
vs
1.00
Luton
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).