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AHT: 10CSV

05 Jul 2020 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.3%
Inter
17.0%
Draw
10.7%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Inter

vs
0.75

Bologna

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).