Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.0%
Porto
11.2%
Draw
3.7%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Porto
vs
0.36
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS27.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.7%
3-0
15.1%
1-0
14.1%
4-0
9.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
1-1
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).