Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Dag and Red
26.4%
Draw
23.5%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Dag and Red
vs
1.07
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).