Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Zaragoza
24.7%
Draw
46.9%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Zaragoza
vs
1.58
Almeria
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).