Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Santander
16.4%
Draw
13.5%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Santander
vs
1.06
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).