Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Ceuta
23.8%
Draw
26.5%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Ceuta
vs
1.17
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).