Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Northampton
24.7%
Draw
37.3%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Northampton
vs
1.25
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).