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AHT: 01CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.8%
Charlton
20.6%
Draw
21.6%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Charlton

vs
1.04

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).