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AHT: 02

27 Apr 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.5%
Boavista
9.8%
Draw
87.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

0.39

Boavista

vs
2.93

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.5%
0-3
15.1%
0-4
11.1%
0-1
10.3%
0-5
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
1-1
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
1-5
2.5%
2-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).