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25 Oct 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.2%
Katowice
29.1%
Draw
24.8%
Korona Kielce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Katowice

vs
0.97

Korona Kielce

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).