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17 Feb 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
28.1%
Draw
41.1%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.37

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).