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AHT: 11CSV

24 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.0%
Nurnberg
22.6%
Draw
15.4%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Nurnberg

vs
0.93

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).