Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Leganes
28.3%
Draw
12.8%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Leganes
vs
0.46
Lugo
Markets
BTTS26.9%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.4%
0-0
16.6%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
3.0%
1-2
2.3%
4-0
2.2%
0-2
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).