Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Roma
27.0%
Draw
45.5%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Roma
vs
1.36
Inter
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).