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10 Feb 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
FeralpiSalo
25.2%
Draw
52.4%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

FeralpiSalo

vs
1.81

Palermo

Markets

BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).