Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Sheffield United
17.3%
Draw
73.3%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Sheffield United
vs
2.59
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).